COT Weekly Update

COT Weekly Update

Commitments of Traders – Smart Money Positioning

Data as of: 10/13/26

Key Signals This Week

  • Gold: Commercials -242,531 vs Specs +207,879 — crowded long, bearish risk
  • JPY: Commercials net long -48,587 vs Specs +50,207 — neutral (specs -12,118 wk)
  • British Pound: Commercials +121,444 vs Specs -106,964 — contrarian bullish (specs -9,353 wk)
  • Canadian: Commercials +105,613 vs Specs -94,765 — extreme divergence, contrarian bullish
  • Euro: Commercials +111,225 vs Specs -137,573 — neutral (specs -38,241 wk)
  • S&P 500: Commercials +35,937 vs Specs -142,709 — specs net short — contrarian bullish

Precious Metals (COMEX)

Contract Commercial Net Spec Net Weekly Change Signal
Gold -242,531 +207,879 Specs: -2,456 Crowded Long
Silver -39,442 +22,631 Specs: -522 Neutral
Copper -76,637 +68,520 Specs: -914 Neutral

Energy (NYMEX)

Contract Commercial Net Spec Net Weekly Change Signal
Crude Oil -24,631 +43,110 Specs: -2,039 Neutral

Crude Oil: Specs net long +43,110 vs Commercials net short -24,631 — monitor positioning for unwinding.

Equity Indices (CME)

Contract Commercial Net Spec Net Weekly Change Signal
S&P 500 +35,937 -142,709 Specs: +12,942 Contrarian Bullish
Nasdaq 100 -58,765 +42,334 Specs: -11,777 Neutral

S&P 500: Commercials +35,937, Specs -142,709 — specs net short, contrarian-bullish lean. Nasdaq 100: Commercials -58,765, Specs +42,334 — specs net long.

Currencies (CME)

Contract Commercial Net Spec Net Weekly Change Signal
Euro FX +111,225 -137,573 Specs: -38,241 Contrarian Bullish
Japanese Yen -48,587 +50,207 Specs: -12,118 Neutral
British Pound +121,444 -106,964 Specs: -9,353 Contrarian Bullish
Australian Dollar +106,370 -117,299 Specs: -18,711 Contrarian Bullish
Canadian Dollar +105,613 -94,765 Specs: -4,602 Contrarian Bullish

JPY commercials -48,587 vs specs +50,207. CAD +105,613 vs specs -94,765 — extreme divergence, strong contrarian-bullish setup. GBP commercials +121,444 vs specs -106,964 — sustained contrarian bullish. EUR commercials +111,225 while specs -137,573 — neutral. AUD commercials +106,370, specs -117,299.

What is the COT Report?

The Commitments of Traders (COT) report is released weekly by the CFTC. It shows how different trader groups are positioned in futures markets:

  • Commercials (Smart Money): Hedgers with real business exposure – often right at turning points
  • Non-Commercials (Specs): Hedge funds and large speculators – often wrong at extremes

Release: Every Friday at 3:30 PM ET (Saturday 4:30 AM Singapore)

Data Sources: CME | COMEX | NYMEX